ClosingOver 90 Days

Digital Process Improvement Analysis

ID: 1767760-30

Potential Value

$150,000

Deal Value

$700,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

832

Client & Account

Client

Lake Consulting

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Hill Diego

Pursuit Leader

Romero Debra

Open Date

Feb 1, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 25, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Digital Process Improvement Analysis

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

44.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$40,181

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.685
Service sub-line track record
-0.352
Opportunity business unit
+0.315

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

44.8%

Model A: Planning

59.8%

Model B: Early Signal

8.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

59.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.443
Lead sales credit %
-0.766
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.735

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (60%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

8.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.744
Service sub-line track record
-0.568
Sub-sector track record
-0.398

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.