PursuePast Due

Responsive Change Management Integration

ID: 7653572-40

Potential Value

$100,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

204

Client & Account

Client

Delta Security Federation

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Castillo Kayla

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Heather

Open Date

Oct 21, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Change Management Integration

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

45.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$10,147

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.717
Service sub-line track record
-0.424
Opportunity business unit
+0.308

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

45.4%

Model A: Planning

22.4%

Model B: Early Signal

10.7%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

22.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.069
Deal age (days since open)
-0.996
Service sub-line track record
-0.821

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

10.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.767
Service sub-line track record
-0.661
Sub-sector track record
-0.430

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.