Predictive Cost Optimization Advisory
ID: 7651892-30
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$2,000,000
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
1695
Client
Compass Regulatory Consortium
Account
Nexgen Security Corporation
City
Washington
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
HR Transformation
Global Service Code
Asset Recovery (63713)
Partner
Williams Priya
Pursuit Leader
Kelly Raymond
Open Date
Sep 21, 2021
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Cost Optimization Advisory
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
20.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$50,263
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
20.7%
Model A: Planning
48.5%
Model B: Early Signal
29.3%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
48.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (49%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
29.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal size.