QualifyOver 90 Days

Core Governance Migration - Extension

ID: 7472830-40

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$283,127

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

875

Client & Account

Client

Trailblazer Regional Development

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Discovery & Analytics

Global Service Code

Benchmarking Services - Transformation (55783)

People & Dates

Partner

Bernard David

Pursuit Leader

Olsen Barbara

Open Date

Dec 20, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 13, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Governance Migration - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

93.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$211,984

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.788
Non-recurring work
+0.637
Recurring/additional sale
+0.454

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

93.6%

Model A: Planning

90.6%

Model B: Early Signal

89.4%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

90.6%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.611
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.282
Lead sales credit %
-0.759

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

89.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.987
Recurring/additional sale
+0.526
Service sub-line track record
-0.449

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.