IdentifyOver 90 Days

Extended Operations Review

ID: 2291499-20

Potential Value

$20,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

20%

Days in Pipeline

573

Client & Account

Client

Orion Healthcare Logistics

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Scott

Pursuit Leader

Reyes Hui

Open Date

Oct 17, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Operations Review

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

51.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$3,275,330

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.669
Service sub-line track record
-0.414
Opportunity business unit
+0.264

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

51.6%

Model A: Planning

31.8%

Model B: Early Signal

2.9%

Stated Probability

20%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

31.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.375
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.081
Deal age (days since open)
+0.887

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.926
Deal size vs service line median
-0.866
Service sub-line track record
-0.722

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.