Identify60-90 Days

Comprehensive Finance Extension

ID: 6140636-50

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

287

Client & Account

Client

Lake Consulting

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Gonzalez Sophie

Pursuit Leader

Turner Amy

Open Date

Jul 30, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 6, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Comprehensive Finance Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

94.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$902,772

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.892
Work type
+0.798
Recurring/additional sale
+0.467

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

94.7%

Model A: Planning

95.4%

Model B: Early Signal

86.2%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

95.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.620
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.796
Lead sales credit %
-0.764

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (95%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

86.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.111
Deal size vs service line median
-0.569
Recurring/additional sale
+0.499

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.