IdentifyOver 90 Days

Adaptive Compliance Architecture

ID: 1592600-10

Potential Value

$3,000,000

Deal Value

$3,000,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

1162

Client & Account

Client

Compass Agency

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Schneider Melissa

Pursuit Leader

Cox Amanda

Open Date

Mar 8, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Compliance Architecture

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

34.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$440,043

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.661
Service sub-line track record
-0.486
Opportunity business unit
+0.269

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

34.7%

Model A: Planning

42.3%

Model B: Early Signal

3.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

42.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.386
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.999
Lead sales credit %
-0.784

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.870
Service sub-line track record
-0.580
Deal size
-0.539

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.