Regional Cybersecurity Modernization - Renewal
ID: 8771814-10
Potential Value
$4,000,000
Deal Value
$4,000,000
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
217
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Gonzalez Sophie
Pursuit Leader
Hernandez Priya
Open Date
Oct 8, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 17, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Regional Cybersecurity Modernization - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
27.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$319,413
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
27.7%
Model A: Planning
28.9%
Model B: Early Signal
4.1%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
28.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.