IdentifyOver 90 Days

Unified Operations Advisory

ID: 1300557-30

Potential Value

$100,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

883

Client & Account

Client

Orion Healthcare Logistics

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Yang Frances

Pursuit Leader

Torres Magnus

Open Date

Dec 12, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Operations Advisory

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

40.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$19,527

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.686
Service sub-line track record
-0.465
Market segment
-0.241

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

40.7%

Model A: Planning

47.9%

Model B: Early Signal

8.3%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

47.9%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.555
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.803
Lead sales credit %
-0.745

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (48%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

8.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.766
Service sub-line track record
-0.619
Sub-sector track record
-0.459

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.