Optimized Supply Chain Phase III (Revised)
ID: 8745047-10
Potential Value
$10,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
362
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Business Transformation through Cloud
Global Service Code
TEC-Cloud Infrastructure Modernization (20668)
Partner
Miller Theresa
Pursuit Leader
Long Stephanie
Open Date
May 16, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Supply Chain Phase III (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
37.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$440,076
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
37.7%
Model A: Planning
11.7%
Model B: Early Signal
2.6%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
11.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
2.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.