PursueWithin 30 Days

Holistic Procurement Phase III

ID: 8123341-20

Potential Value

$20,900,914

Deal Value

$21,293,632

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

434

Client & Account

Client

Pine Associates

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Transformation Planning - CorpFin (32133)

People & Dates

Partner

Wright Andrea

Pursuit Leader

Brooks Fernando

Open Date

Mar 5, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Procurement Phase III

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

63.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$2,309,698

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.609
Service sub-line track record
-0.420
Deal size vs service line median
+0.414

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

63.8%

Model A: Planning

17.3%

Model B: Early Signal

3.1%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

17.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.689
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.341
Deal size vs service line median
-0.706

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.942
Deal size vs service line median
-0.758
Service sub-line track record
-0.575

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.