IdentifyOver 90 Days

Proactive Data Analytics Solution (Amended)

ID: 6890978-20

Potential Value

$9,500,000

Deal Value

$19,000,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

1195

Client & Account

Client

Raven Holdings

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Schneider Melissa

Pursuit Leader

Cox Amanda

Open Date

Feb 3, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Proactive Data Analytics Solution (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

41.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,407,383

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.685
Service sub-line track record
-0.404
Opportunity business unit
+0.277

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

41.8%

Model A: Planning

35.4%

Model B: Early Signal

2.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

35.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.385
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.030
Deal size vs service line median
-0.911

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (35%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.866
Deal size vs service line median
-0.788
Service sub-line track record
-0.565

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.