Predictive Tax Reform Blueprint
ID: 5666982-50
Potential Value
$250,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
146
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Morgan Susan
Pursuit Leader
Leroy Andrew
Open Date
Dec 18, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Tax Reform Blueprint
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
55.6%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$38,023
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
55.6%
Model A: Planning
27.3%
Model B: Early Signal
9.1%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
27.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.