Agile Supply Chain Phase III - Phase 3
ID: 5502157-30
Potential Value
$4,900,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
694
Client
Oak Operational Enterprises
Account
Eagle Operational Consulting
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Wright Lauren
Pursuit Leader
Ortiz Grace
Open Date
Jun 18, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Agile Supply Chain Phase III - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
25.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$549,043
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
25.7%
Model A: Planning
43.6%
Model B: Early Signal
3.6%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
43.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (44%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.