IdentifyPast Due

Enterprise Market Entry Assessment

ID: 6201650-40

Potential Value

$668,538

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

796

Client & Account

Client

National Operational Capital

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Transactions

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Sell & Separate

Global Service Code

Outcome Measurement (43814)

People & Dates

Partner

Mendoza Gloria

Pursuit Leader

Baker Joan

Open Date

Mar 8, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enterprise Market Entry Assessment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

68.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$312,505

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.611
Opportunity business unit
+0.396
Curacao geographic factor
-0.326

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

68.4%

Model A: Planning

68.3%

Model B: Early Signal

19.5%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

68.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.020
Deal age (days since open)
+0.944
Deal size
-0.855

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (68%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal size.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

19.5%

Key Drivers

Deal size
-0.878
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.726
Market segment
-0.538

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: deal size, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.