IdentifyOver 90 Days

Accelerated Change Management Advisory - FY25

ID: 4349548-40

Potential Value

$1,060,000

Deal Value

$530,450

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

187

Client & Account

Client

Matrix Logistics

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Samuel

Open Date

Nov 7, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 1, 2029

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Accelerated Change Management Advisory - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

95.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$894,708

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.751
Work type
+0.708
Recurring/additional sale
+0.561

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

95.5%

Model A: Planning

88.4%

Model B: Early Signal

91.4%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

88.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.583
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.509
Lead sales credit %
-0.735

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

91.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.141
Recurring/additional sale
+0.493
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.446

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.