Identify60-90 Days

Predictive Inclusion & Diversity Consolidation (Revised)

ID: 1625035-30

Potential Value

$236,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

146

Client & Account

Client

Heritage Civic Advisors

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Scott

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Heather

Open Date

Dec 18, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Inclusion & Diversity Consolidation (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

66.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$52,355

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.638
Service sub-line track record
-0.341
Sub-sector track record
+0.306

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

66.7%

Model A: Planning

33.3%

Model B: Early Signal

11.9%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

33.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.095
Service sub-line track record
-0.831
Lead sales credit %
-0.726

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (33%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.778
Service sub-line track record
-0.617
Deal size
-0.368

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.