ClosingOver 90 Days

Comprehensive Program Management Strategy - Extension

ID: 2404049-50

Potential Value

$375,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

223

Client & Account

Client

Genesis Banking Advisors

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Trade Compliance (46686)

People & Dates

Partner

Ross Dieter

Pursuit Leader

Thompson Marilyn

Open Date

Oct 2, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 2, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Comprehensive Program Management Strategy - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

94.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$339,316

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.746
Non-recurring work
+0.633
Service sub-line track record
+0.371

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

94.5%

Model A: Planning

95.7%

Model B: Early Signal

75.9%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

95.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.675
Lead sales credit %
-0.824
Market segment
-0.582

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (96%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

75.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.067
Market segment
-0.659
Account business unit
-0.594

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (76%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.