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Comprehensive Talent Strategy Phase II (Revised)

ID: 4259103-30

Potential Value

$5,000,000

Deal Value

$10,000,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

233

Client & Account

Client

Crossroads Worldwide

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Brooks Emma

Open Date

Sep 22, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Comprehensive Talent Strategy Phase II (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

65.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$483,739

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.603
Opportunity business unit
+0.393
Deal size (log scale)
-0.359

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

65.1%

Model A: Planning

14.8%

Model B: Early Signal

3.5%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

14.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.242
Deal size vs service line median
-0.887
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.725

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.841
Deal size vs service line median
-0.727
Deal size
-0.613

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.