PursuePast Due

Resilient Quality Assurance Analysis - Renewal

ID: 1757352-40

Potential Value

$4,899,238

Deal Value

$4,899,238

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

96

Client & Account

Client

Matrix Logistics

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology Risk

Competency

Technology Risk

Global Service Code

Enterprise Architecture (73695)

People & Dates

Partner

Nelson Judith

Pursuit Leader

Johnson Stephen

Open Date

Feb 6, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Resilient Quality Assurance Analysis - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

66.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$2,680,658

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.625
Service sub-line track record
+0.550
Opportunity business unit
+0.539

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

66.0%

Model A: Planning

82.8%

Model B: Early Signal

37.0%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

82.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.748
Lead sales credit %
-0.743
Market segment
-0.510

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (83%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

37.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.055
Deal size vs service line median
-0.528
Service sub-line track record
-0.524

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (37%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.