IdentifyOver 90 Days

Core Compliance Platform - FY25

ID: 5690739-20

Potential Value

$34,000,000

Deal Value

$102,000,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

194

Client & Account

Client

Matrix Logistics

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Samuel

Open Date

Oct 31, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 1, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Compliance Platform - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

32.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,344,635

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.525
Work type
+0.505
US Federal business unit
-0.384

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

32.8%

Model A: Planning

12.0%

Model B: Early Signal

3.2%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

12.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.438
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.247
Deal age (days since open)
-0.693

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.848
Deal size vs service line median
-0.647
Service sub-line track record
-0.614

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.