IdentifyOver 90 Days

Foundational Procurement Architecture

ID: 4464023-20

Potential Value

$3,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

306

Client & Account

Client

Spectrum Strategic Industries

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Aguilar Jean-Paul

Pursuit Leader

Nguyen Olivia

Open Date

Jul 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 16, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Foundational Procurement Architecture

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

71.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$226,988

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.663
Opportunity business unit
+0.374
Deal size vs service line median
+0.313

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

71.4%

Model A: Planning

10.6%

Model B: Early Signal

2.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

10.6%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.636
Deal size vs service line median
-1.119
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.031

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.4%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-1.017
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.823
Deal size
-0.564

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.