Qualify60-90 Days

Holistic Operations Roadmap - FY26

ID: 6557468-50

Potential Value

$3,000,000

Deal Value

$2,625,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

952

Client & Account

Client

Crossroads Research Dynamics

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Market Analysis (82042)

People & Dates

Partner

Fischer Olivier

Pursuit Leader

Campbell Joshua

Open Date

Oct 4, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 6, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Operations Roadmap - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

32.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$180,904

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.616
Service sub-line track record
-0.372
Market segment
-0.238

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

32.4%

Model A: Planning

18.6%

Model B: Early Signal

2.3%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

18.6%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.527
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.030
Service sub-line track record
-0.951

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.3%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.983
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.758
Deal size vs service line median
-0.613

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.