IdentifyWithin 30 Days

High-Impact Legacy System Phase I - FY25

ID: 2851933-40

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

463

Client & Account

Client

National Associates

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Healthcare Strategy (58866)

People & Dates

Partner

Johnson Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Lee Emma

Open Date

Feb 4, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Legacy System Phase I - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

72.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.668
Opportunity business unit
+0.469
Service sub-line track record
-0.460

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

72.8%

Model A: Planning

31.9%

Model B: Early Signal

17.7%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

31.9%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.413
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.967
Lead sales credit %
-0.658

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

17.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.641
Service sub-line track record
-0.533
Sub-sector track record
-0.406

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.