Identify60-90 Days

Critical Legacy System Analysis - Extension

ID: 3014681-50

Potential Value

$1,500,000

Deal Value

$1,500,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

208

Client & Account

Client

Matrix Logistics

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Lewis Angela

Open Date

Oct 17, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Legacy System Analysis - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

18.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$102,814

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.561
Work type
+0.505
US Federal business unit
-0.317

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

18.2%

Model A: Planning

37.6%

Model B: Early Signal

5.9%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

37.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.172
Deal age (days since open)
-0.699
Lead sales credit %
-0.695

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (38%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.841
Service sub-line track record
-0.620
Market segment
-0.421

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.