IdentifyPast Due

High-Impact Procurement Initiative

ID: 8017332-50

Potential Value

$227,528

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

796

Client & Account

Client

National Operational Capital

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

IoT Strategy (89815)

People & Dates

Partner

Mendoza Gloria

Pursuit Leader

Baker Joan

Open Date

Mar 8, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Procurement Initiative

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

71.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$128,498

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.644
Opportunity business unit
+0.437
Curacao geographic factor
-0.312

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

71.1%

Model A: Planning

79.4%

Model B: Early Signal

21.6%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

79.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.009
Lead sales credit %
-0.825
Deal age (days since open)
+0.819

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (79%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

21.6%

Key Drivers

Deal size
-0.691
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.675
Service sub-line track record
-0.467

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: deal size, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.