IdentifyOver 90 Days

Unified Risk Management Solution - Phase 2

ID: 4538997-40

Potential Value

$15,000,000

Deal Value

$50,000,000

Stated Probability

20%

Days in Pipeline

104

Client & Account

Client

Matrix Logistics

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Samuel

Open Date

Jan 29, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 31, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Risk Management Solution - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

21.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$309,768

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.529
Work type
+0.496
US Federal business unit
-0.391

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

21.8%

Model A: Planning

9.5%

Model B: Early Signal

3.2%

Stated Probability

20%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

9.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.306
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.795
Service sub-line track record
-0.722

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.848
Deal size vs service line median
-0.647
Service sub-line track record
-0.614

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.