Resilient Supply Chain Scale-Up
ID: 5394454-20
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
348
Client
Nova Research Innovations
Account
Eagle Operational Consulting
City
Atlanta
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Regulatory Compliance (61122)
Partner
Liu Barbara
Pursuit Leader
Hansen David
Open Date
May 30, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Resilient Supply Chain Scale-Up
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
48.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$380,792
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
48.3%
Model A: Planning
78.8%
Model B: Early Signal
42.4%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
78.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (79%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
42.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.