Regional Change Management Diagnostic (Revised)
ID: 8021954-20
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
296
Client
Nova Research Innovations
Account
Eagle Operational Consulting
City
Atlanta
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Privacy Management (52422)
Partner
Collins Michelle
Pursuit Leader
Herrera Scott
Open Date
Jul 21, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Regional Change Management Diagnostic (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
47.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
47.7%
Model A: Planning
33.8%
Model B: Early Signal
11.7%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
33.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (34%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
11.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, service sub-line track record.