IdentifyPast Due

Advanced Cloud Migration Advisory

ID: 5914454-30

Potential Value

$125,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

800

Client & Account

Client

Zenith Municipal Partners

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Integrity & Compliance

Global Service Code

Business Continuity (77803)

People & Dates

Partner

Williams Priya

Pursuit Leader

Kelly Raymond

Open Date

Mar 4, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Advanced Cloud Migration Advisory

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

51.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$40,040

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.704
Service sub-line track record
-0.460
Opportunity business unit
+0.456

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

51.6%

Model A: Planning

62.0%

Model B: Early Signal

8.8%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

62.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.112
Service sub-line track record
-0.758
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.723

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (62%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

8.8%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.799
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.676
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.460

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).