Next-Gen Supply Chain Consolidation - Phase 3
ID: 2824919-20
Potential Value
$999,999
Deal Value
$874,999
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
952
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Fischer Olivier
Pursuit Leader
Campbell Joshua
Open Date
Oct 4, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 6, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Next-Gen Supply Chain Consolidation - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
32.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$99,747
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
32.0%
Model A: Planning
31.2%
Model B: Early Signal
3.4%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
31.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.