IdentifyPast Due

Digital Cloud Migration Scale-Up

ID: 1897785-20

Potential Value

$25,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

800

Client & Account

Client

Zenith Municipal Partners

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Williams Priya

Pursuit Leader

Kelly Raymond

Open Date

Mar 4, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Digital Cloud Migration Scale-Up

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

37.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$7,212

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.691
Service sub-line track record
-0.480
Opportunity business unit
+0.283

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

37.4%

Model A: Planning

77.2%

Model B: Early Signal

30.9%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

77.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.214
Deal age (days since open)
+0.839
Lead sales credit %
-0.812

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (77%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

30.9%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.558
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.543
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.522

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).