PursuePast Due

Predictive Digital Transformation Pilot

ID: 9525574-50

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

296

Client & Account

Client

Nova Research Innovations

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Collins Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Herrera Scott

Open Date

Jul 21, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Digital Transformation Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

56.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.630
Opportunity business unit
+0.495
Region track record
-0.277

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

56.4%

Model A: Planning

37.6%

Model B: Early Signal

13.7%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

37.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.939
Lead sales credit %
-0.746
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.714

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (38%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

13.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.592
Sub-sector track record
-0.461
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.386

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, currency (usd vs other).