PursuePast Due

Digital Sustainability Scale-Up - Renewal

ID: 4925411-20

Potential Value

$13,600,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

181

Client & Account

Client

Lake Consortium

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Business Transformation through Cloud

Global Service Code

TEC-Cloud Infrastructure Modernization (20668)

People & Dates

Partner

Kelly Sanjay

Pursuit Leader

Moreau Edward

Open Date

Nov 13, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 2, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Digital Sustainability Scale-Up - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

51.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$804,991

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.681
Service sub-line track record
-0.351
Opportunity business unit
+0.240

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

51.5%

Model A: Planning

11.5%

Model B: Early Signal

1.9%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

11.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.237
Deal size vs service line median
-1.206
Service sub-line track record
-0.859

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

1.9%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-1.156
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.896
Service sub-line track record
-0.663

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.