IdentifyOver 90 Days

Dynamic Market Entry Enhancement

ID: 4646531-50

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

299

Client & Account

Client

Allied Municipal Solutions

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Customer Experience

Global Service Code

Product Strategy - SellSep (80328)

People & Dates

Partner

Collins Mark

Pursuit Leader

Hernandez Priya

Open Date

Jul 18, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Dynamic Market Entry Enhancement

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

14.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.580
Work type
+0.543
US Federal business unit
-0.419

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

14.5%

Model A: Planning

24.0%

Model B: Early Signal

14.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

24.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.405
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.045
Deal age (days since open)
-0.785

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (24%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

14.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.585
Service sub-line track record
-0.551
Sub-sector track record
-0.450

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.