Multi-Phase Risk Management Extension
ID: 8120954-50
Potential Value
$200,000
Deal Value
$120,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
952
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Fischer Olivier
Pursuit Leader
Campbell Joshua
Open Date
Oct 4, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
May 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Multi-Phase Risk Management Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
57.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$48,533
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
57.3%
Model A: Planning
42.3%
Model B: Early Signal
8.2%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
42.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
8.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.