Regional Market Entry Phase I
ID: 4335563-50
Potential Value
$50,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
1035
Client
Foundation International
Account
Nexgen Security Corporation
City
New York
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
PAS - Tax
Competency
PAS - Reward and People Transactions
Global Service Code
Health & Safety Review (81624)
Partner
Williams Priya
Pursuit Leader
Kelly Raymond
Open Date
Jul 13, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 2, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Regional Market Entry Phase I
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
72.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$19,464
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
72.9%
Model A: Planning
53.4%
Model B: Early Signal
16.6%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
53.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (53%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
16.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, currency (usd vs other).