IdentifyOver 90 Days

Next-Gen Risk Management Solution

ID: 3700900-20

Potential Value

$11,226

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

824

Client & Account

Client

Atlas Network

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - Private Tax

Global Service Code

Grant Management - Operations (40345)

People & Dates

Partner

Brown Helmut

Pursuit Leader

Thompson Thomas

Open Date

Feb 9, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 5, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Next-Gen Risk Management Solution

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

88.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$8,028

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.733
Service sub-line track record
+0.514
Region track record
+0.443

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

88.8%

Model A: Planning

80.6%

Model B: Early Signal

70.1%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

80.6%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.291
Lead sales credit %
-0.831
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.820

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (81%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

70.1%

Key Drivers

Account business unit
-0.589
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.583
Market segment
-0.539

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (70%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: account business unit, market segment.