QualifyOver 90 Days

Innovative Digital Transformation Pilot

ID: 8186716-40

Potential Value

$50,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

1108

Client & Account

Client

Nexus Holdings

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

Indirect

Competency

Indirect Tax - Core

Global Service Code

Automation Advisory (58347)

People & Dates

Partner

Scott Ingrid

Pursuit Leader

Morris Andrew

Open Date

May 1, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative Digital Transformation Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

74.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$32,002

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.683
Opportunity business unit
+0.553
Region track record
-0.268

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

74.9%

Model A: Planning

85.4%

Model B: Early Signal

41.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

85.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.074
Lead sales credit %
-0.854
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.682

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (85%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

41.8%

Key Drivers

Currency (USD vs other)
-0.571
Service sub-line track record
-0.545
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.523

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working against: currency (usd vs other), service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).