Dynamic Risk Management Framework - Renewal
ID: 5456263-10
Potential Value
$1,200,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
65%
Days in Pipeline
121
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Audit & Governance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Audit
Competency
Audit (CORE)
Global Service Code
Trade Compliance (46686)
Partner
Fischer Charlotte
Pursuit Leader
Nelson James
Open Date
Jan 12, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 28, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Dynamic Risk Management Framework - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
78.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$148,978
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
78.1%
Model A: Planning
15.9%
Model B: Early Signal
7.1%
Stated Probability
65%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
15.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
7.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.