IdentifyOver 90 Days

Next-Gen Finance Scale-Up - Phase 2

ID: 8038843-40

Potential Value

$6,000,000

Deal Value

$53,538,462

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

237

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Public Technologies

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Hughes Andrew

Pursuit Leader

Ortiz Amber

Open Date

Sep 18, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Next-Gen Finance Scale-Up - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

26.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$504,168

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.661
Work type
+0.543
US Federal business unit
-0.387

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

26.1%

Model A: Planning

32.2%

Model B: Early Signal

4.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

32.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.383
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.747
Lead sales credit %
-0.709

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.970
Service sub-line track record
-0.560
Deal size vs service line median
-0.477

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.