Predictive Supply Chain Framework - Renewal
ID: 4634190-10
Potential Value
$21,975
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
75%
Days in Pipeline
1013
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
BTS
Competency
BTS - Private Tax
Global Service Code
Grant Management - Operations (40345)
Partner
Gonzalez Yong
Pursuit Leader
Murphy Jean
Open Date
Aug 4, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Supply Chain Framework - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
73.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$15,244
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
73.9%
Model A: Planning
93.9%
Model B: Early Signal
84.0%
Stated Probability
75%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
93.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
84.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (84%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.