Advanced Technology Modernization Blueprint - Phase 3
ID: 8753757-30
Potential Value
-$750,000
Deal Value
-$750,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
468
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
BTS
Competency
BTS - Private Tax
Global Service Code
Grant Management - Operations (40345)
Partner
Brown Helmut
Pursuit Leader
Peterson Miguel
Open Date
Jan 30, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 27, 2028
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced Technology Modernization Blueprint - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$527,736
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Model A: Planning
85.3%
Model B: Early Signal
89.3%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
85.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (85%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
89.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: sub-sector track record. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, market segment.