IdentifyOver 90 Days

Unified Stakeholder Engagement Roadmap - Phase 2

ID: 2493877-40

Potential Value

$750,000

Deal Value

$750,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

468

Client & Account

Client

Central Capital

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - Private Tax

Global Service Code

Grant Management - Operations (40345)

People & Dates

Partner

Brown Helmut

Pursuit Leader

Peterson Miguel

Open Date

Jan 30, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 28, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Stakeholder Engagement Roadmap - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

82.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$451,549

Key Triage Drivers

Deal size
-0.801
Work type
+0.668
Service sub-line track record
+0.608

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

82.5%

Model A: Planning

73.0%

Model B: Early Signal

74.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

73.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.669
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.469
Lead sales credit %
-0.779

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (73%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

74.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.986
Deal size vs service line median
-0.931
Deal size
-0.663

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (74%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, deal size.