Transformative Cost Optimization Migration
ID: 3170349-30
Potential Value
-$750,000
Deal Value
-$750,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
1297
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
BTS
Competency
BTS - Private Tax
Global Service Code
Grant Management - Operations (40345)
Partner
Brown Helmut
Pursuit Leader
Thompson Thomas
Open Date
Oct 24, 2022
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Transformative Cost Optimization Migration
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$536,029
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Model A: Planning
86.6%
Model B: Early Signal
89.1%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
86.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
89.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, market segment.