IdentifyOver 90 Days

Enterprise Market Entry Modernization - FY26

ID: 4397311-10

Potential Value

$40,000,000

Deal Value

$282,000,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

245

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Public Technologies

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Bell Julie

Pursuit Leader

Garcia Sophie

Open Date

Sep 10, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 17, 2028

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enterprise Market Entry Modernization - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

28.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,705,552

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.664
Work type
+0.528
US Federal business unit
-0.386

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

28.8%

Model A: Planning

14.8%

Model B: Early Signal

3.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

14.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.483
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.221
Deal size vs service line median
-0.654

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.948
Deal size vs service line median
-0.804
Service sub-line track record
-0.564

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.