IdentifyOver 90 Days

Dynamic Cybersecurity Migration

ID: 3176589-40

Potential Value

$3,250,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

188

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Public Technologies

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Operations

Global Service Code

Product Strategy - Review (69596)

People & Dates

Partner

Hughes Andrew

Pursuit Leader

Ortiz Amber

Open Date

Nov 6, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Dynamic Cybersecurity Migration

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

37.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$306,953

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.575
Service sub-line track record
-0.349
US Federal business unit
-0.319

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

37.1%

Model A: Planning

25.4%

Model B: Early Signal

4.7%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

25.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.387
Deal size vs service line median
-0.701
Lead sales credit %
-0.677

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (25%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.898
Deal size vs service line median
-0.578
Deal size
-0.536

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.