IdentifyOver 90 Days

Extended Regulatory Reporting Workshop (Amended)

ID: 3147898-30

Potential Value

$7,000,000

Deal Value

$62,461,538

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

237

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Public Technologies

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Implementation

Global Service Code

Policy Development (47968)

People & Dates

Partner

Hughes Andrew

Pursuit Leader

Ortiz Amber

Open Date

Sep 18, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Regulatory Reporting Workshop (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

33.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$632,106

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.571
US Federal business unit
-0.375
Service sub-line track record
-0.349

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

33.4%

Model A: Planning

27.0%

Model B: Early Signal

5.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

27.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.409
Lead sales credit %
-0.715
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.639

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.895
Deal size vs service line median
-0.610
Service sub-line track record
-0.466

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.