Identify60-90 Days

Adaptive Internal Audit Modernization

ID: 4705887-50

Potential Value

$750,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

474

Client & Account

Client

Gamma Security Trust

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Compliance (54455)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramirez Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Raymond

Open Date

Jan 24, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Internal Audit Modernization

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

77.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$470,132

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.701
Work type
+0.689
Recurring/additional sale
+0.371

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

77.6%

Model A: Planning

80.8%

Model B: Early Signal

58.8%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

80.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.798
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.485
Recurring/additional sale
+0.775

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (81%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

58.8%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-1.006
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.900
Service sub-line track record
-0.822

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (59%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.