PursuePast Due

Core Supply Chain Implementation - Phase 3

ID: 1068622-40

Potential Value

$1,320,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

376

Client & Account

Client

Titan Security Foundation

City

Victoria

Region

Canada

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Dispute Resolution (96693)

People & Dates

Partner

De Vries Kenji

Pursuit Leader

Walker Nancy

Open Date

May 2, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Supply Chain Implementation - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

73.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$303,600

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.630
Service sub-line track record
-0.399
Opportunity business unit
+0.358

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

73.6%

Model A: Planning

31.3%

Model B: Early Signal

5.6%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

31.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.244
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.842
Deal size vs service line median
-0.820

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.827
Deal size vs service line median
-0.658
Service sub-line track record
-0.531

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.